Monday, April 27, 2009

Young buyers wary as panic sets in | The Australian

FIRST-HOME buyers Lee Brown and Jessica Tompkins are desperately saving for their first home. So, at first glance, it seems odd that they are hoping Kevin Rudd does not extend the boost to the first-home owners grant in the coming budget.

But the Sydney couple say that rather than give young investors a much-needed leg-up in the property market, the grants - which are worth up to $21,000 for those wanting to build a new home - have driven up prices and created panic among those trying to beat the June 30 cut-off.

Prompted, perhaps, by speculation last week that the boost will not be extended beyond June 30, there was a marked increase in the numbers of people at auctions and home inspections in all capital cities over the weekend, despite the Anzac Day holiday.

Auction clearance rates were significantly higher than last weekend in Melbourne, Sydney and Adelaide.

But while there appears to be a last-minute rush among home buyers, the recently engaged Mr Brown and Ms Tompkins are determined not to get in over their heads. Since they began house hunting last October - when Mr Rudd announced the doubling of the $7000 first-home owners grant for established homes, and a tripling for new homes - the asking price of the house and land package they are interested in has risen by $44,000.

Now they hope prices will fall back to more reasonable levels once the boost ends, as property analysts predict. "A lot of young people are panic buying, that is what we have found, particularly in the last couple of months," said Mr Brown, 26, an environmental consultant. "We feel a lot of pressure to buy now or lose out on the $21,000."

Ms Tompkins, who works in marketing, said the couple had expected prices to fall as the global financial crisis took its toll. "We would be better off if they cut the grant because there won't be so many people out there trying to snap up houses," she said.

In Port Melbourne, Ana Laskova, 24, and Dean Pavlickovski, 31, attended an auction for a two-bedroom apartment yesterday, only to watch the property sell for a significantly higher price than they were prepared to pay. "We would like to buy given the extra stimulus, but the grant is not going to make the difference in our decision," Mr Pavlickovski said.

The home buyers have joined a queue of experts condemning the scheme as counter-productive and a waste of public funds. SQM research managing director Louis Christopher said there was a panicked rush of first-home buyers due to speculation the boost was unlikely to be extended.

He said couples such as Jessica and Lee should wait. "Now is not the time for first-home buyers to rush in. If they wait, demand will dry up and prices will fall," he said. "The first-home buyers grant doesn't help housing affordability at all."

Critics argue the grant has artificially raised prices for homes under $500,000, pitted investors against first-home buyers and disrupted the rental market.

"The first-home buyers grant has been counter-productive," said Kevin Lee, head of Smartline Mortgages.

Property analyst Michael Matusik said there were no more first-home buyers in the market than a decade ago and the boost had simply exaggerated prices."It should be called the vendor's grant," he said. "In the outer suburbs of major capital cities the prices went up between $7000 and $14,000 in a 24-hour period immediately after the announcement. There's anecdotal evidence that it has boosted housing construction, but over the longer term all it has done is bring forward construction."

However, Housing Industry Association senior economist Harley Dale said the tripling of the grant for new dwellings had been highly effective in boosting the property market. "It has done a lot to stimulate the property market and has been especially successful in driving first-home buyers to build their own homes," he said. "In the case of first home buyers who are building new homes it isn't just a situation where demand has been brought forward, demand has actually increased."

Open houses across the country have been inundated with potential first-home buyers eager to enter the market before the boost is shut down or decreased.

In Melbourne, real estate agents were surprised by the strong turnout over the weekend, as a higher than anticipated numbers of house-hunters braved heavy downpours and blistering winds to attend inspections. Real estate agent Craig Stephens said the Prime Minister's hints that the grant would expire had prompted a "massive spike" in numbers attending open-house inspections over the weekend.
Young buyers wary as panic sets in | The Australian

First Home Loan Specialists Comment

I find this an interesting article given the current situation. This type of lobbying is why I think the Federal Government will take the middle ground and the First Home Owners Grant back to $7,000 for established properties and take some of the heat out of this section of the market.

They will then cut the boost to $14,000 for newly constructed properties and continue this through to 31 December 2009. After that they will end the boost.

For what it is worth that is my opinion.

Greg Brierley
Principal
T: 1300 884 809
E: greg@firsthomeloanspecialist.com.au
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Sunday, April 26, 2009

Tanner under pressure on home buyers grant

The Federal Government is under pressure to reveal if it plans to make any changes to the first home owner grant in next month's Budget.The first home owner grant was doubled from $7,000 to $14,000, and tripled for those buying newly-built homes to $21,000, to help the housing sector through tough economic times.

Acting Treasurer Lindsay Tanner will not say if the Budget will include an extension or changes to the scheme, but he has warned prospective buyers the increased grant is limited.

"We're not going to have a first home owners grant at the level that it's been forever," he said.

Earlier this week Prime Minister Kevin Rudd kickstarted speculation on the grant's future when he said "all good things must come to an end." Ron Silverberg from the Housing Industry Association says the uncertainty could see people rush into buying to secure the extra assistance.

"It probably would be desirable that the Government clarify the situation," he said."It will be a very hectic weekend through builders' display homes and real estate agents' offices."

Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey says there are problems with the current scheme. "The first home owners grant may be pushing up the prices of housing," he said.

The increased grant is currently due to end on June 30 and the Government says a decision will be announced when the Budget is handed down next month.
Tanner under pressure on home buyers grant - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

First Home Loan Specialists Comment

It looks like the debate will never end. Will they continue the first home owners grant?

No-one knows!

Greg Brierley
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E: greg@firsthomeloanspecialist.com.au
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PM - Housing help may continue

PM - Friday, 24 April , 2009 Reporter: Alexandra Kirk

LISA MILLAR: According to the Prime Minister all good things come to an end.That was how Kevin Rudd responded yesterday when pressed about delaying the end of the boosted First Home Owners Grant.That big boost may still finish at the end of June, but the Government is hinting that something a little less generous may take its place.

From Canberra, Alexandra Kirk reports.

ALEXANDRA KIRK: Bank managers are flat out processing a flurry of loans from first home buyers with the uncertainty over whether the Federal Government will extend the more generous First Home Owners Grant beyond the current used-by date of the 30th of June. While the fillip to the construction industry will continue over the next 12 to 18 months - because first home buyers only have to have signed a contract by the end of June - many are worried about a rapid slump. When asked what happens next - this is how Kevin Rudd chooses to answer.

KEVIN RUDD: All good things must come to an end.

ALEXANDRA KIRK: That infuriates the Opposition, which is demanding a categoric yes or no. But today the acting Treasurer Lindsay Tanner gave more of an insight into the Government's thinking.

LINDSAY TANNER: It's due to end on June 30th and therefore the level of the grant to return to its normal level, that's the position that prevails as things stand at the moment. I can't speculate on whether or not we may choose to modify that, that'll be something that people will have to wait until the Budget to see.

ALEXANDRA KIRK: The Housing Industry Association wants the Government to put an end to all the speculation.

RON SILBERBERG: It probably would be desirable that the Government clarified the situation for first home seekers at the earliest opportunity. It was expected to do that in the Budget, it might be prudent that it brings forward an announcement.

ALEXANDRA KIRK: The Association's executive director Ron Silberberg has been lobbying the Government to at least retain the $21,000 grant for newly built homes. He says that's what stimulates the economy and creates jobs.

RON SILBERBERG: Our estimate is that if the Government retain the $21,000 grant for new housing and reverted to a $7000 grant on established, we would generate an extra 15,000 jobs in the housing industry and in manufacturing and service sectors.

ALEXANDRA KIRK: And that option's been left open by Mr Tanner.

LINDSAY TANNER: We're not going to have a first home owners grant at the level that it's been forever because it was put in place to deal with a specific sort of economic circumstances. But the question on exactly how and when that exit occurs is something that we will be addressing.
PM - Housing help may continue

First Home Loan Specialists Comment

An extract from the transcript of story on the ABC's PM Program.

And so the plot thickens. The Federal Government is on record one day indicating that all good things must come to an end and the next day it suggests that well it might end but not all of it. I agree with HIA representative that an announcement needs to be brought forward.

I do not hink they have to announce details of what they propose to do but just indicate in what capacity the First Home Owners Grant will continue if at all.

Greg Brierley
Principal
T: 1300 884 809
E: greg@firsthomeloanspecialist.com.au
W: www.firsthomeloanspecialist.com.au
Blog: www.firsthomeloanspecialists.blogspot.com
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